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Openai/695daa5e-3680-8004-92a0-6eef87816358
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==== 結論(いまの日本での「適用」) ==== * 家計目線では、現金・預金の比率が大きい上に、預金金利の上昇が物価に追いつきにくいので、インフレが続く限り「インフレ税」的な実質目減りは起きやすいです。日本ボードゲーム協会<ref>{{cite web|title=日本ボードゲーム協会|url=https://www.boj.or.jp/en/statistics/sj/sjexp.pdf|publisher=boj.or.jp|access-date=2026-01-07}}</ref> * 政府目線では、巨額の名目債務があるため、短期的にはインフレが債務負担を軽く見せる面はあります。財務省<ref>{{cite web|title=財務省|url=https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/budget/budget/fy2025/02.pdf|publisher=mof.go.jp|access-date=2026-01-07}}</ref> ただし、金利正常化で調達コストが上がっており、インフレ税で“楽に”財政を回せる局面ではない(むしろ「金利上昇が怖い局面」)という色が濃いです。Reuters<ref>{{cite web|title=Reuters|url=https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/boj-keep-raising-interest-rates-governor-ueda-says-2026-01-05/|publisher=reuters.com|access-date=2026-01-07}}</ref> 必要なら、'''「誰が払って、誰が得するか」'''を(家計:現金派/投資派、企業:価格転嫁の強弱、政府:税収構造、年金受給者:給付改定の遅れ等)に分解して、もう一段具体的に整理します。
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