Editing Openai/6918bd99-cfdc-8005-8415-80f8761a8f47 (section)

=== Three systemic scenarios (simple, plausible) ===
# Partial-correction (most likely moderate outcome): Some policies — targeted reskilling, expanded safety nets, climate adaptation investment — limit the worst effects. Inequality grows but doesn’t explode. AI and biotech improve many lives, but benefits are unequally distributed.
# Elite entrenchment: Wealth concentration + regulatory capture + weak social safety nets lead to fortified elite enclaves and widespread social fragility elsewhere. This raises risk of unrest and systemic shocks.
# Widespread rupture (worst-case): Rapid climate or economic collapse sequences plus failed governance produce mass displacement, conflict, and long-term setbacks in quality of life for billions. This is lower probability in 20 years but not negligible if multiple stressors align.