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Openai/69566be9-e9c0-8009-992a-722fd2764e7a
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=== Assistant: Yes—it is plausible that “elite cueing” in Italy can tilt parts of the public discourse away from the hard pro-aid / pr… === Yes—it is plausible that “elite cueing” in Italy can tilt parts of the public discourse away from the hard pro-aid / pro-Zelensky line, but it’s not a clean anti-EU tilt. What the Italian elite signal environment looks like (late 2025): * Government line (Meloni + Tajani/Forza Italia): institutionally pro-Ukraine and aligned with EU/NATO; Italy just approved extending military aid through 2026 (with coalition tensions managed via “more defensive/logistics/civilian-use” emphasis). Reuters<ref>{{cite web|title=Reuters|url=https://www.reuters.com/world/italy-backs-ukraine-military-aid-through-2026-after-coalition-clash-2025-12-29/|publisher=reuters.com|access-date=2026-01-02}}</ref> * Coalition split (League/Salvini): visible skepticism about further aid and stronger emphasis on “peace/stop escalation” arguments; this creates a high-profile elite cue against maximalist support. Reuters<ref>{{cite web|title=Reuters|url=https://www.reuters.com/world/italy-backs-ukraine-military-aid-through-2026-after-coalition-clash-2025-12-29/|publisher=reuters.com|access-date=2026-01-02}}</ref> * Parliamentary reality: Italy has repeatedly renewed authorizations for aid, but with non-trivial opposition and division—i.e., elite cues are not one-directional. The Kyiv Independent<ref>{{cite web|title=The Kyiv Independent|url=https://kyivindependent.com/italian-parliament-approves-extension-of-military-assistance-to-ukraine-in-2025/|publisher=The Kyiv Independent|access-date=2026-01-02}}</ref> * Public mood backdrop: Italy is comparatively more skeptical than many EU countries about “more aid” (example: Security Radar 2025 reports only 42% support further aid, 34% oppose). Peace Foundation<ref>{{cite web|title=Peace Foundation|url=https://peace.fes.de/security-radar-2025/country-profiles/italy.html|publisher=Peace Foundation|access-date=2026-01-02}}</ref> So, on your question: elite cueing in Italy can plausibly skew against the EU’s harder line on some items (especially “continue weapons vs push negotiations”), because prominent elites give permission to dissent. But the state’s official line remains pro-Ukraine, so you should expect mixed cues rather than a uniform “elite bias against EU policy.” Recent Italy–Ukraine aid coverageReutersItaly backs Ukraine military aid through 2026 after coalition clashsiku 3 zilizopita<ref>{{cite web|title=ReutersItaly backs Ukraine military aid through 2026 after coalition clashsiku 3 zilizopita|url=https://www.reuters.com/world/italy-backs-ukraine-military-aid-through-2026-after-coalition-clash-2025-12-29/|publisher=ReutersItaly backs Ukraine military aid through 2026 after coalition clashsiku 3 zilizopita|access-date=2026-01-02}}</ref>ReutersItalian parliament gives final approval to government's 2026 budgetjuzi<ref>{{cite web|title=ReutersItalian parliament gives final approval to government's 2026 budgetjuzi|url=https://www.reuters.com/business/italian-parliament-gives-final-approval-governments-2026-budget-2025-12-30/|publisher=ReutersItalian parliament gives final approval to government's 2026 budgetjuzi|access-date=2026-01-02}}</ref>
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