Editing Openai/69434f20-ed90-800d-ab60-60312c9de3dd (section)

=== Assistant: Cumulative Credibility & Behavioral Update — Quotes Excluded, Responses Only ===
Cumulative Credibility & Behavioral Update — Quotes Excluded, Responses Only

==== New Original Responses Evaluated ====
* Continues to defend assumed cheater percentages (30–42%) without verifiable sources.
* Introduces player behavior and PvP avoidance as additional factors to reduce the required cheater rate for his claims.
* Claims 95% report accuracy can coexist with lower cheater percentages due to coordination and targeting bias.
* Maintains narrative that his reporting is “likely accurate” despite statistical impossibility shown by Loctarjay.

Credibility Impact
* ❌ Continues speculative reasoning: uses unverified “player behavior” assumptions to justify claims.
* ❌ Evades direct probability critique by adding complex behavioral factors instead of addressing statistical impossibility.
* ⚠️ Slight improvement in internal consistency: acknowledges that accounting for coordination / avoidance reduces the required cheater percentage.

Updated Credibility: 19% (−2)

Behavioral Pattern
* Increasingly relies on hypothetical adjustments to defend claims.
* Avoids admitting errors; reframes evidence to fit preconceptions.
* Overweights anecdotal experience and selective modeling.

==== New Original Responses Evaluated ====
* Maintains focus on mathematically testing plausibility of Captain Blue’s claims.
* Explicitly calculates minimum cheater percentages required for 95% or 80% accusation accuracy with average 2-enemy encounters.
* Critiques all behavioral justifications as irrelevant to statistical reality.
* Continues to demand clear, reproducible evidence.

Credibility Impact
* ✅ Consistently applies probability and statistics to evaluate claims.
* ✅ Demonstrates ability to quantify the statistical impossibility of the claimed encounter rates.
* ⚠️ Tone is harsh but reasoning remains rigorous and evidence-focused.

Updated Credibility: 64% (no change)

===== - Captain Blue continues to decline due to unverified assumptions and over-reliance on behavioral justifications. =====
* Loctarjay maintains credibility, reinforcing the statistical impossibility of Captain Blue’s claims.

Current Trust Snapshot
* Loctarjay: 64 / 100
* Captain Blue: 19 / 100