Editing Openai/69668f73-ea68-800d-ac56-44a64b19dae4 (section)

==== Do the three liberals tend to move as a bloc? ====
→ Yes, in rights and ideology cases. No, in technical, procedural, or vehicle-dependent cases.

Is Hikma v. Amarin in the bloc-prone category?
→ No. It’s in the splinter-prone category.

So your read is right to focus on them — but the conclusion should be:

: 

Which means your overall handicap should still lean toward denial, unless you see an independent path to a fourth vote outside that bloc.

That’s the cleanest, least story-driven way to model it.