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Openai/6973e373-2b8c-800d-84b7-d7001cfc6bac
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=== 3) The Axioms (universal rules of inference + discourse hygiene) === These axioms are how you keep this method from turning into either “you can’t infer anything” or “I can read your soul.” ==== Axioms about inference (what can be concluded from text) ==== Axiom 1 — Text is behavior, not just content. Threads are sequences of actions: answering, dodging, conceding, specifying, reframing, straw-manning, updating. Axiom 2 — Single snapshots are weak; sequences are strong. One comment can be miscalibration. Repeated cycles under scrutiny become diagnostic. Axiom 3 — Analyst skill matters. Some people can track premises and patterns better than others. “Text alone can’t tell” is often an overgeneralization. Axiom 4 — Confidence is not evidence. Confidence correlates with truth and miscalibration. It proves neither. Axiom 5 — Tone is not a truth-maker. Tone may be data, but it cannot substitute for the repair/engagement record. Axiom 6 — Intent is often unknowable; function is often clear. Therefore, function-based classification (“effective”) is the disciplined default. Axiom 7 — The strongest inference comes from repair opportunities. If someone is offered low-cost, specific repair and repeatedly refuses, the causal space collapses fast. Axiom 8 — “Not measured” is not “not present.” But “not measured” is also not a valid premise for certainty claims. ==== Axioms about Meta-Cluster 1 (observable effective discourse failure) ==== Axiom 9 — Good faith is not a feeling; it’s a pattern of repair behaviors. Good faith shows up as quoting, specifying, answering, conceding, narrowing claims, stating update-conditions. Axiom 10 — Bad faith can be functional without being conscious. People can sincerely believe what they’re saying and still behave in ways that function as derailment. Axiom 11 — Substitution moves are the signature. When asked to engage premises, the person substitutes tone labels, meta labels, credentials, narrative reframes, ridicule, or exit moves. Axiom 12 — “Path of least resistance” selects the cheapest move that protects the self-story. The mind doesn’t need to be evil. It only needs to treat self-correction pain as “too expensive.” Axiom 13 — Time/attention limits are only exculpatory before the repair test. If they keep replying but won’t do minimal repairs, it’s no longer about time; it’s about payoff. Axiom 14 — Overgeneralization is a reliability leak. Universal claims require universal-level justification; otherwise they’re epistemically negligent. Axiom 15 — Premise discipline beats conclusion performance. A conclusion with missing premises is still an unreliable mind at work. ==== Axioms about skill (reliability under pressure) ==== Axiom 16 — A skill is only as dependable as its worst-case deployment. What someone does under ego threat is more predictive than what they can do when calm. Axiom 17 — Calm presentation does not imply cognition fully online. Cold defenses can coexist with severe epistemic avoidance. Axiom 18 — Credentials do not substitute for premise-level engagement. They may indicate domain skill; they do not prove discourse integrity right now. Axiom 19 — Miscalibration becomes self-protective when correction is repeatedly refused. Early mistakes can be innocent; persistence under clear feedback indicates blindspot maintenance. ==== Axioms about Meta-Cluster 2 (state/modulators) ==== Axiom 20 — State variables modulate performance; they don’t define the mechanism. Arousal affects bandwidth and slope, but doesn’t automatically explain substitution patterns. Axiom 21 — Without tangible indicators, state inferences should remain optional, not foundational. Otherwise “they’re dysregulated” becomes a projection shortcut. Axiom 22 — Stability across state is the real measure. Baseline competence, degradation slope, recovery time, and trigger frequency determine dependability. ==== Axioms about Meta-Cluster 3 (causal empathy constellation) ==== Axiom 23 — Developmental causes are plausible; they are not thread-provable. Life-history inference is a “wouldn’t be surprised” layer unless corroborated. Axiom 24 — Causal empathy is not exoneration. Understanding upstream causes doesn’t change downstream harm or discourse incompatibility. Axiom 25 — Keep enforcement behavior-based; keep empathy hypothesis-based. Public standards rely on Meta-Cluster 1. Private compassion can consider Meta-Cluster 3 without asserting it.
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