Editing Openai/6924d898-a68c-8009-beac-944d19ca0daf (section)

==== ✅ Conclusion: Is 50/50 at Fight 79 Plausible? ====

Yes, it is.

Fight 79 in words:
* Medium-sized but bounded island battlefield.
* Starting at mid-range (100–200 m).
* Naruto in SPSM, Luffy transitioning early to Gear 5.
* Luffy can usually force mid/close engagements early and often.
* Naruto can sometimes ride out the initial chaos and get enough space to unleash truly horrifying offense.
* Neither has a hard counter to the other’s whole kit at this stage — it’s about who successfully imposes their game plan first in each run.

Both Agents, even with a bit of ego, can reasonably say:
* “Some runs absolutely go my way.”
* “Some runs absolutely go theirs.”
* “The advantage has narrowed enough here that it’s a real coin flip.”

So:

: Fight 79 is a credible P = 0.5 point.

That, in turn, supports:
* Naruto’s P stays ≈1 through a LOT of fights.
* It only really begins to drop meaningfully when we move well into the 60s/70s.
* By fight 79, the curve has finally reached the true midpoint.

If you’d like, we can now:
* Drill into a specific “Naruto wins” run of Fight 79 versus
* A specific “Luffy wins” run of Fight 79, to make the 50/50 nature even more concrete.