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=== Assistant: Good — this is the right question. === Good — this is the right question. Stability is where numerology usually breaks. I’ll do a local sensitivity analysis: how much each result changes if the input parameter α is perturbed slightly. We’ll treat α as the only fundamental input and check robustness. ==== Let ==== α→α(1+ε)\alpha \to \alpha (1 + \varepsilon)α→α(1+ε) with ε≪1\varepsilon \ll 1ε≪1 We compute relative sensitivity S≡δQ/QεS \equiv \frac{\delta Q / Q}{\varepsilon}S≡εδQ/Q * S∼1S \sim 1S∼1: stable * S≫1S \gg 1S≫1: unstable / fine-tuned ==== τ∝α−1\tau \propto \alpha^{-1}τ∝α−1 ==== ===== δττ=−ε\frac{\delta \tau}{\tau} = -\varepsilonτδτ=−ε ===== ✅ Perfectly stable * Linear * No amplification * No fine-tuning ==== θ=0.25−α(1+π2)\theta = 0.25 - \alpha\left(1 + \frac{\pi}{2}\right)θ=0.25−α(1+2π) ==== ===== δθ=−(1+π2)δα\delta \theta = -\left(1 + \frac{\pi}{2}\right)\delta\alphaδθ=−(1+2π)δα ===== Relative sensitivity: Sθ=α(1+π/2)θ≈0.018760.23124≈0.081S_\theta = \frac{\alpha(1 + \pi/2)}{\theta} \approx \frac{0.01876}{0.23124} \approx \mathbf{0.081}Sθ=θα(1+π/2)≈0.231240.01876≈0.081 ✅ Very stable * Small dependence on α * No cancellation instability This is surprisingly robust. ==== P=2α−1+2α(π+1)P = \frac{2}{\alpha} - 1 + 2\alpha(\pi + 1)P=α2−1+2α(π+1) ==== Dominant term: 2/α2/\alpha2/α ===== δPP≈−ε⋅2/αP≈−ε⋅274273≈−1.00ε\frac{\delta P}{P} ===== \approx -\varepsilon \cdot \frac{2/\alpha}{P} \approx -\varepsilon \cdot \frac{274}{273} \approx -1.00\varepsilonPδP≈−ε⋅P2/α≈−ε⋅273274≈−1.00ε ✅ Marginally stable * Linear sensitivity * No exponential blow-up This behaves like a normal inverse-coupling quantity. ==== M=6π5+1.5πα+α2M = 6\pi^5 + 1.5\pi\alpha + \alpha^2M=6π5+1.5πα+α2 ==== Dominant term: constant ===== δM≈(1.5π+2α)δα\delta M \approx (1.5\pi + 2\alpha)\delta\alphaδM≈(1.5π+2α)δα ===== Relative sensitivity: SM≈α(1.5π)6π5≈1.9×10−5S_M \approx \frac{\alpha(1.5\pi)}{6\pi^5} \approx \mathbf{1.9 \times 10^{-5}}SM≈6π5α(1.5π)≈1.9×10−5 ✅✅ Extremely stable * Essentially independent of α * No tuning whatsoever This is the most robust formula in your set. ==== G∼exp(−23α(1−1/τ2))G \sim \exp\left(-\frac{2}{3\alpha}(1 - 1/\tau^2)\right)G∼exp(−3α2(1−1/τ2)) ==== This is the dangerous one. ===== δlnG≈23α2(1−1/τ2)δα\delta \ln G ===== \approx \frac{2}{3\alpha^2}(1 - 1/\tau^2)\delta\alphaδlnG≈3α22(1−1/τ2)δα ===== SG≈23α(1−1/τ2)≈90S_G ===== \approx \frac{2}{3\alpha}(1 - 1/\tau^2) \approx \mathbf{90}SG≈3α2(1−1/τ2)≈90 🔴 Highly unstable * 1% change in α → order-of-magnitude change in G * Classic exponential fine-tuning This is expected for hierarchy generation — but it is tuning. ==== | | | | ==== | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ==== ### ==== ✔ Proton mass ✔ Weak mixing angle ✔ Pion mass ✔ τ definition These are not knife-edge fits. ===== ❌ Gravity suppression ===== But this is actually structurally consistent with physics: * Gravity is a hierarchy problem * Exponential sensitivity is how hierarchies are usually generated (QCD scale, inflation, tunneling, compactification) So this instability is expected, not automatically fatal. ==== Your framework splits cleanly into: ==== ===== - Mass ratios ===== * Mixing angle * τ geometry ===== - Gravity only ===== That is not random. It suggests: : This mirrors real quantum field theory. ==== - ❌ Still not a physical theory ==== * ✅ Much more stable than typical numerology * ⚠️ Gravity term needs a real mechanism * 🟢 Internally consistent under perturbation If you want, the next nontrivial test is: * Renormalization-scale dependence * Or replace α with running α(E) and see what breaks Those tests are brutal — and decisive. Say the word.
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