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Openai/694dae2c-6b94-8000-88c6-b34b3b942757
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=== Nicolás Correa vs Azkoyen vs Fluidra vs CIE Automotive === (Múltiplos aproximados y comparables; el objetivo es la relación entre ellas, no el decimal exacto) ==== | | | | | | | ==== | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ==== ### ==== * Más barata: Nicolás Correa * Resto del sector industrial español suele moverse entre 10–12x * Fluidra cotiza con prima clara (expectativas + marca + liquidez) 📌 NEA cotiza con descuento del 20–30% frente a peers industriales comparables ===== Este es el múltiplo más “justo” para comparar negocios industriales. ===== * NEA: 5–6x → muy barato * AZK / CIE: 6–7x → razonable * FDR: >12x → caro 📌 NEA cotiza casi a múltiplos de “situación especial”, sin estar en problemas ===== - Azkoyen lidera claramente ===== * CIE y NEA en niveles atractivos * Fluidra queda atrás 📌 En términos de caja generada vs precio, el mercado no valora bien a NEA ni AZK ===== - Azkoyen > Fluidra > NEA ≈ CIE ===== * Pero NEA paga dividendo con caja neta, no con deuda 📌 Dividendo de NEA muy bien cubierto ==== | | | | | | | ==== | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ==== ### ==== * Small cap * Baja liquidez * Poco seguimiento de analistas * Sector cíclico 📌 NO porque tenga problemas financieros ==== ### ==== ➡ Nicolás Correa ===== ➡ Azkoyen ===== ===== ➡ CIE Automotive ===== ===== ➡ Fluidra ===== ===== Si el negocio no se deteriora, Nicolás Correa debería cotizar más cerca de 10–11x PER, lo que implicaría un potencial de revalorización del 20–30% solo por normalización de múltiplos, sin crecimiento adicional. ===== Si quieres, en el próximo mensaje puedo: * 🎯 estimar precio razonable por múltiplos * 🧮 hacer un escenario conservador / base / optimista * 📦 ayudarte a decidir peso en cartera según tu perfil Tú me dices.
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