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Openai/696861f8-e84c-8007-9640-6fdff74f2d68
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==== あえて三段階で言うと: ==== * 楽観シナリオ:数議席を維持 * 中心シナリオ:大幅減(半減以下) * 悲観シナリオ:玉木+ごく少数だけ生存(あなたが言う形に近づく) 「玉木だけ生存」は'''起き得るが、基本線は“激減はするがゼロではない”'''と見るのが一番妥当だ。
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