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Openai/69286a1e-2f50-800a-b685-0647e6b12a18
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==== - 把上面任一情景的分布画成直方图 / 累积分布（Monte-Carlo 模拟，显示中位数、P90、P99 等）。 ==== * 用你指定的一组参数（直接给 p、Mwin、Mloss、n）做精确计算并输出表格与解释（无需我再问）。 * 考虑手续费 / 每次固定百分比成本 / 爆仓阈值 等现实约束后重新计算概率（这对结果影响非常大，我可以一并加上）。 你现在想让我做哪一项？（比如：“用 p=0.35, win×3, loss×0.5, n=300 算一次” — 直接给参数即可，我会立刻算出精确概率并解释。）
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