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=== Assistant: Stephen’s latest comment reveals several fundamental misunderstandings of both radiative physics and the actual dynamic… === Stephen’s latest comment reveals several fundamental misunderstandings of both radiative physics and the actual dynamics governing ice crystal temperature and mass balance in the atmosphere. Let’s break down and debunk each claim directly and clearly: ==== ### ==== The Stefan–Boltzmann law says radiative emission increases rapidly with temperature: Pemit=σAT4P_{\text{emit}} = \sigma A T^4Pemit=σAT4 So he argues that as the particle warms, emission increases rapidly and instantly balances absorption. ===== - This only describes radiative output, not how fast a particle actually warms up. ===== * To know how fast temperature rises, you must include heat capacity and mass: dTdt=PnetmCp\frac{dT}{dt} = \frac{P_{\text{net}}}{m C_p}dtdT=mCpPnet Where: * PnetP_{\text{net}}Pnet = absorbed power – emitted power – latent loss * CpC_pCp = specific heat capacity of ice (~2100 J/kg·K) A 20 µm particle has: * Mass ≈3.84×10−12 kg\approx 3.84 \times 10^{-12} \, \text{kg}≈3.84×10−12kg * So even if Pnet∼1×10−7 WP_{\text{net}} \sim 1 \times 10^{-7} \, \text{W}Pnet∼1×10−7W, the rate of temperature rise is: dTdt≈1×10−73.84×10−12⋅2100≈12.4 K/s\frac{dT}{dt} \approx \frac{1 \times 10^{-7}}{3.84 \times 10^{-12} \cdot 2100} \approx 12.4 \, \text{K/s}dtdT≈3.84×10−12⋅21001×10−7≈12.4K/s 🔥 That’s not milliseconds — it takes multiple seconds to reach a new equilibrium temperature, even under sustained solar absorption. ✅ Stephen’s assumption of “instant thermal equilibrium in milliseconds” is physically false — he ignores the particle's thermal inertia. ==== ### ==== Correct — we never claimed it’s constant. That figure (1.71×10⁻⁷ W) was explicitly labeled as the thermal emission at 223 K, the ambient starting temperature. In fact, our model tracks how emission increases as the temperature rises — hence the T⁴ relationship is fully included. We also computed the balance point where: * Pabs=Pemit+PlatentP_{\text{abs}} = P_{\text{emit}} + P_{\text{latent}}Pabs=Pemit+Platent * And solved for equilibrium TTT ✅ Stephen misrepresents our use of the emission term — we treated it dynamically, not as a constant. ==== ### ==== Conduction and convection are negligible for small particles at high altitude: * Air density at 10 km is low (~0.4 kg/m³). * Heat transfer to/from the air is modeled by: Pcond=hA(Tparticle−Tair)P_{\text{cond}} = h A (T_{\text{particle}} - T_{\text{air}})Pcond=hA(Tparticle−Tair) Where h∼10 W/m2⋅Kh \sim 10 \, \text{W/m}^2\cdot\text{K}h∼10W/m2⋅K at best. For our crystal: * Area = 1.26×10−9 m21.26 \times 10^{-9} \, \text{m}^21.26×10−9m2 * So even with ΔT = 10 K: Pcond≈10⋅1.26×10−9⋅10=1.26×10−7 WP_{\text{cond}} \approx 10 \cdot 1.26 \times 10^{-9} \cdot 10 = 1.26 \times 10^{-7} \, \text{W}Pcond≈10⋅1.26×10−9⋅10=1.26×10−7W That’s comparable to radiative and latent processes — not dominant. But here's the kicker: 🔹 Conduction and convection flow from the surrounding air to the particle. 🔹 The air is also cold and in sunlight — it doesn’t magically stay fixed at 223 K while particles are heating. ✅ These pathways do not short-circuit the solar heating process. ✅ And they do not prevent sublimation, because they don’t keep the crystal cold enough. ==== This is a numerical fantasy. ==== * He has plugged a small ΔRHi into an inverse microphysics calculator, without accounting for sunlight. * He ignores that sunlight adds energy, driving the particle to ~230–233 K, where vapor pressure is ~7.1 Pa. * At ambient RHi = 105% and 223 K, vapor pressure = 4.22 Pa × 1.05 = 4.43 Pa * But 7.1 Pa > 4.43 Pa ⇒ net sublimation still occurs ✅ There is no scenario under solar exposure where net growth occurs at RHi = 105%, unless the crystal stays artificially cold — which it doesn’t. ==== Stephen, you’ve made several fundamental errors: ==== * Thermal equilibrium does not occur in milliseconds — the particle’s finite mass and heat capacity limit how fast it warms. * We explicitly included the T⁴ radiative increase — the 1.71e–7 W was only at 223 K, not treated as constant. * Conduction and convection are minor at high altitudes — and don’t override solar heating or vapor pressure effects. * Your claim that the crystal "begins to grow at 105% RHi" ignores that sunlight raises the crystal’s temperature and vapor pressure well above ambient — so sublimation still dominates. The actual physics shows: * Crystals heat gradually to ~230–233 K under sunlight. * Their vapor pressure nearly doubles, requiring ~177% RHi to avoid sublimation. * Even in humid conditions, they sublimate in ~3–4 seconds, not grow. You’re arguing with thermodynamics — and that’s a losing game. Would you like this distilled into a sharp Facebook-ready reply or meme format?
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