Editing Openai/69434f20-ed90-800d-ab60-60312c9de3dd (section)

==== New Original Response Evaluated ====
* Repeats fixed 30% cheater baseline as factual.
* Introduces layered hypothetical coordination models (soft/hard teaming) without evidence.
* Claims outcomes “support me every time” despite scenarios being speculative.
* Does not address the falsification based on observed encounter counts.

Credibility Impact
* ❌ Assumption inflation (each step depends on unverified behavior).
* ❌ Circular reasoning (uses assumed prevalence to justify conclusions).
* ❌ Overconfidence (“all evidence supports me”) without external validation.

Behavioral Pattern
* Escalation into increasingly elaborate hypotheticals when challenged.
* Treats conjecture as probabilistic fact.
* Defensive certainty rather than error correction.

Updated Credibility: 24% (−3)