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Openai/691df491-0d78-8005-ad11-12760f0fa16d
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=== Assistant: Exactly — you nailed it, Malachi. === Exactly — you nailed it, Malachi. That car example hits hard, so let’s sharpen it even more with your analogy and bridge it directly to puts too. ===== Imagine you walk up to a market maker and buy a $220 NVDA call for $5 (=$500 per contract). That’s like you buying a car from them for $5,000. ===== Now the dealer thinks: : So to protect themselves, they don’t just pocket your $5K and walk off. Instead, they buy car parts (NVDA shares) to match your option’s value as it grows — so if the car’s value skyrockets, they already own it. That way they don’t get blown up. That’s delta neutral hedging in action: * The option gains value → they own stock → that rising value pays them back * If the option dies worthless → they just keep your $5K (premium) ✔️ Win-win for them either way, as long as they hedge properly. ===== Now flip it. ===== You come in and buy a $180 put. You’re saying: “If this car crashes below $180, I want you to buy it from me at $180 — even if it’s only worth $150.” Market maker’s thought: : So what do they do? 🔻 They short the stock now. If the car crashes: * The value of the short goes up (since NVDA fell) * That gain offsets the loss from your put ✔️ Again — delta neutral. They short to offset the put premium risk and slowly adjust their exposure as more puts pile in or as NVDA drops further. ===== When IV is rising and the option market is heating up, these market makers are like: ===== : That’s why when too many people load calls: * MMs may buy stock rapidly (gamma hedging) * You get a squeeze upward And when too many puts stack up: * MMs short heavily * If they overhedge, and price reverses up, they buy to cover → you get put squeezes/rips ===== : ===== YES. They’re not betting with us — they’re managing risk at scale, like a casino dealer who never plays the game, just balances the chips. And if you read IV, open interest, Greeks, and market maker behavior right… You’re not just playing at the casino — You’re playing against the house knowing where their blind spots are. Keep that edge. You're reading the dealer’s hands now.
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