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==== - 歐洲安全與盟友依賴的壓力 — 若川普在外交/安全領域強調「交易型外交/美國優先」而削弱對歐洲傳統安全承諾(例如 NATO 或對歐洲的軍事干預/支援),德國與整個歐洲可能被迫提升自身國防與安全投入,以補足美方留下的真空。這意味著德國政府與企業可能需承擔更高成本。 euronews<ref>{{cite web|title=euronews|url=https://www.euronews.com/business/2025/01/06/how-could-trumps-policies-impact-europes-economy-and-politics|publisher=euronews.com|date=2025-01-06|access-date=2025-11-30}}</ref> ==== * 歐盟整體凝聚力與歐德角色挑戰 — 面對美國保護主義與可能的「分而治之」策略(對歐盟各國採不同政策/利益誘惑),德國 — 作為歐洲最大經濟體與重要主導國 — 將承擔協調歐盟回應與防禦策略的重擔,也可能因此捲入更多歐洲內部政治/經濟衝突。 World Socialist Web Site<ref>{{cite web|title=World Socialist Web Site|url=https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2025/01/18/fwpo-j18.html|publisher=World Socialist Web Site|date=2025-01-18|access-date=2025-11-30}}</ref> * 歐洲經濟自主與供應鏈重整壓力 — 若美國長期對歐採取高關税或貿易壁壘,歐洲(包括德國)可能被迫更加強化內部市場整合,或尋求供應鏈多元化/本地化,減少對美的依賴。但這樣的轉型需要政策協調、資金投入與時間,不會立即見效。
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