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Openai/6970b34b-09b8-800c-ba70-f16e01819711
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==== - 這不是「短期利空」 ==== * 是 資產負債表等級的重傷 * 後續最大變數只有一個: 👉 工程會調解結果能讓多少成本「轉嫁或延後」 在那之前: * 股價是籌碼博弈 * 基本面沒有安全邊際 如果你願意,我可以下一步幫你做三件事之一: 1️⃣ 推估最可能的工程會調解三種情境(悲觀/中性/偏樂觀) 2️⃣ 直接用財務模型算:森崴還撐不撐得住?會不會需要增資? 3️⃣ 站在做空/避險角度,幫你看市場目前「還沒反映的風險」 你選哪一個?
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