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Openai/695befc4-bd88-800c-8faa-3a817e670a41
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==== ### ==== Not intelligence. Not a battlefield trigger. Not a diplomatic incident. Those alone are insufficient. ===== ## ===== ===== Specifically, one of the following would have occurred: ===== * A classified Congressional Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF) explicitly naming Maduro * Or a novel executive legal theory treating Maduro as: - a non-sovereign criminal actor - outside head-of-state protections - analogous to a transnational terrorist leader This is the hard gate. Without it, nothing else matters. ===== This is crucial. ===== The U.S. does not abduct heads of state β but it does capture: * enemy commanders * designated narco-terrorists * actors reclassified as illegitimate sovereigns The most likely trigger would be: : That collapses decades of restraint in one move. ===== For this to happen, the following would already have been secured before Jan 4: ===== * DOJ sign-off * DoD execution authority * Intelligence community concurrence * Quiet congressional leadership notification * Assurances to markets and allies In other words: the institutional survivability test you cited would have flipped from βnoβ to βyes.β That is the change.
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