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Openai/6935aaed-f35c-8004-8137-e0b2dcf25c84
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==== ### ==== Entropy sources on the EU Node: * War-adjacent position: Ukraine war adds fiscal, political, and social load (defense spending, refugee support, energy shocks). ScienceDirect<ref>{{cite web|title=ScienceDirect|url=https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0143622824000687|publisher=sciencedirect.com|access-date=2025-12-07}}</ref> * Energy + grid problems: EU is planning a strategic overhaul of the grid precisely because current bottlenecks threaten decarbonization and energy security. That’s explicit entropy management. Reuters<ref>{{cite web|title=Reuters|url=https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/eu-plans-strategic-overhaul-fix-energy-grid-bottlenecks-ft-reports-2025-12-06/|publisher=reuters.com|access-date=2025-12-07}}</ref> * US partial withdrawal: Trump’s strategy document effectively says “you’re on your own, and by the way, we think your Ukraine stance and migration policies are self-destructive”. The Washington Post<ref>{{cite web|title=The Washington Post|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2025/12/05/trump-europe-russia-national-security-strategy/|publisher=The Washington Post|date=2025-12-05|access-date=2025-12-07}}</ref> EU’s reaction: * Surge toward defense integration and strategic autonomy: more PESCO, more joint procurement, more talk of a joint force, and a broadened notion of strategic autonomy to tech, trade, and industry. European Parliament<ref>{{cite web|title=European Parliament|url=https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2025/765814/EPRS_BRI%282025%29765814_EN.pdf|publisher=European Parliament|access-date=2025-12-07}}</ref> In Bridge360 terms: * Europe is trying to move from “US-anchored OS client” to a regional OS node (Band B if successful), * But for now is stuck in Band B- / C+: high internal contradiction, big external shock (Russia) at the border, incomplete fiscal/defense union. ===== For Europe to become the primary host of the Global OS after Washington, it would need: ===== # Security coherence – a reliable deterrent and integrated command, not a patchwork. # Fiscal and banking union deep enough to make the euro a true anchor safe-asset system, comparable to US Treasuries. # Energy re-architecture that reduces both price volatility and political vulnerability. # Political stabilisation relative to far-right and centrifugal forces. Current trajectory (based on OECD, ECB and think-tank analysis) says: * Growth is modest, demographics are a headwind, energy and regulation weigh on competitiveness. European Commission<ref>{{cite web|title=European Commission|url=https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/2025/07/oecd-economic-surveys-european-union-and-euro-area-2025_af6b738a.html|publisher=European Commission|access-date=2025-12-07}}</ref> * Strategic autonomy is real but messy and slow, deeply contested between member states. China-CEE Institute<ref>{{cite web|title=China-CEE Institute|url=https://china-cee.eu/2025/05/28/the-road-to-european-strategic-autonomy%EF%BC%9Ainternal-conflicts-and-outlook/|publisher=China-CEE Institute|date=2025-05-28|access-date=2025-12-07}}</ref> So under Bridge360: * Europe is likely to become a strong regional subsystem OS (Band B if reforms advance) * But not the single new global OS core. Too much structural fragility F remains, especially with Russia next door and the US no longer giving a clean security guarantee.
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