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Openai/696a6a14-6df8-8011-bc8e-86b397592ab9
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==== 这里的“判断力”不是聪明，也不是智商，而是三种能力的组合。 ==== ===== 不是： ===== * 哪个行业热 * 哪个工具强 * 哪个资产涨 而是： * 什么东西在 10 年后仍然重要？ * 什么变化是结构性的，不会逆转？ 这是慢变量识别能力。 ===== 这是绝大多数人没有被训练过的能力。 ===== 不参与包括： * 不追风口 * 不急着“变现人生” * 不把所有筹码压在一个叙事上 📌 不参与，本身是一种选择权。 ===== 所有选择都有风险，但风险不同： ===== * 技术风险 * 制度风险 * 时间风险 * 认知风险 成熟的人不是避险，而是： :
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